Last Updated on May 21, 2025 by admin
Every poker player, from beginners to high-stakes pros, faces downswings—those brutal stretches where luck seems to abandon you no matter how well you play. A downswing isn’t just about losing money; it’s a mental battle that tests your discipline, confidence, and love for the game.
In this comprehensive guide, you’ll learn:
✔ What causes poker downswings? (It’s not just bad luck!)
✔ How to mentally handle losing streaks (Pro mindset tricks)
✔ Bankroll management during downswings (Avoid going broke)
✔ Strategic adjustments to recover faster
✔ Common mistakes that make downswings worse
By the end, you’ll have a proven system to survive—and even profit from—poker’s toughest swings.
What is a Poker Downswing? (And Why They Happen)
A downswing is a prolonged period of losses due to variance (bad luck) and/or leaks in your game. Even world-class players experience them:
- Phil Ivey once lost $16 million in a single session.
- Daniel Negreanu had a 2-year downswing in high-stakes cash games.
Key Causes of Downswings:
- Bad Variance – Running worse than expected statistically.
- Tilt & Emotional Play – Making poor decisions after losses.
- Game Selection Errors – Playing above your bankroll or vs. tougher opponents.
- Strategic Leaks – Exploitable weaknesses in your game.
The Mental Game: How to Stay Strong During a Downswing
1. Accept Variance (It’s Math, Not Magic)
- Poker is skill + short-term luck.
- Even with a 5% edge, you can lose 10+ sessions in a row.
2. Track Your Results (Separate Skill from Luck)
- Use tracking software (Hold’em Manager, PokerTracker).
- Focus on BB/100 (big blinds per 100 hands) instead of session results.
3. Avoid Tilt with the 24-Hour Rule
- If you lose 3+ buy-ins, stop playing for 24 hours.
- Pro Tip: Watch replays of your losses to spot mistakes.
4. Reframe Negative Thoughts
❌ “I’m so unlucky!” → ✅ “This is temporary—I’ll adjust.”
❌ “I can’t win anymore.” → ✅ “I’ll review hands and improve.”
Read Also: Mastering Online Poker: Essential Tips and Strategies for Success
Bankroll Management During Downswings
The Golden Rule:
- Cash Games: 20-30 buy-ins for your stake.
- Tournaments: 100+ buy-ins.
Stake Level | Minimum Bankroll |
NL10 (0.10) | 300 |
NL100 (1) | 3,000 |
MTTs ($10 buy-in) | $1,000+ |
If you lose 30% of your bankroll:
✔ Move down in stakes
✔ Take a break to study
Strategic Adjustments to Recover Faster
1. Tighten Up Preflop (Fewer Marginal Hands)
- Fold weak suited connectors (65s, J9o) in early position.
- Focus on high-equity hands (AQ+, 88+).
2. Reduce Multi-Tabling
- Play fewer tables to make better decisions.
3. Exploit Weak Players
- Target fish (recreational players) instead of regs.
4. Review Your Biggest Losses
- Use hand history reviews to find leaks.
Common Mistakes That Worsen Downswings
❌ Chasing Losses (Playing higher stakes to “win it back”)
❌ Ignoring Bankroll Rules (Risking 50%+ of your roll)
❌ Quitting Study (“I know enough—just running bad!”)
How Pros Bounce Back from Downswings
✅ Phil Galfond: Takes breaks to meditate and refocus.
✅ Jason Koon: Reviews hands with solvers to fix leaks.
✅ Maria Ho: Switches formats (cash → tournaments) to reset.
Read Also: How to Play Baseball Poker: A Comprehensive Beginner’s Guide
Final Checklist to Survive a Downswing
- Check your mental state (No tilt = better decisions).
- Verify bankroll health (Move down if needed).
- Analyze your play (Use tracking software).
- Adjust strategy (Tighter ranges, exploit weak players).
- Take breaks (Prevent burnout).
Conclusion: Downswings End—Stay Strong!
Downswings feel endless, but they’re temporary. The players who survive and thrive are those who:
✔ Control emotions
✔ Stick to bankroll rules
✔ Learn from losses
Want to test your mental game? Play on Durabet with a disciplined approach!